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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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ASTON VILLA
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Aston Villa's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Aston Villa sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1897 | Saturday, September 18, 1897 | 4269.36 |
| 1896 | Saturday, December 26, 1896 | 4231.58 |
| 2023 | Sunday, December 17, 2023 | 4223.53 |
| 2024 | Saturday, January 6, 2024 | 4210.67 |
| 1895 | Saturday, November 2, 1895 | 4200.58 |
| 1900 | Monday, September 10, 1900 | 4184.88 |
| 1898 | Saturday, January 8, 1898 | 4181.47 |
| 1905 | Saturday, November 4, 1905 | 4172.97 |
| 1899 | Saturday, January 21, 1899 | 4171.78 |
| 1894 | Wednesday, December 26, 1894 | 4165.68 |
| 1914 | Saturday, March 14, 1914 | 4160.71 |
| 1910 | Saturday, December 10, 1910 | 4159.59 |
| 2010 | Tuesday, March 16, 2010 | 4145.51 |
| 2009 | Saturday, February 7, 2009 | 4142.32 |
| 1931 | Saturday, October 17, 1931 | 4141.30 |
A list of the worst 15 Aston Villa sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1970 | Saturday, March 28, 1970 | 3652.71 |
| 1971 | Saturday, May 1, 1971 | 3682.37 |
| 1968 | Saturday, December 14, 1968 | 3691.10 |
| 1969 | Saturday, December 13, 1969 | 3715.96 |
| 1972 | Saturday, January 8, 1972 | 3755.77 |
| 1967 | Saturday, October 7, 1967 | 3766.50 |
| 2017 | Monday, February 20, 2017 | 3772.72 |
| 1974 | Tuesday, January 1, 1974 | 3799.02 |
| 1973 | Saturday, December 29, 1973 | 3801.09 |
| 2016 | Saturday, October 15, 2016 | 3808.49 |
| 1987 | Monday, August 31, 1987 | 3824.46 |
| 1937 | Monday, April 26, 1937 | 3830.07 |
| 1935 | Saturday, December 21, 1935 | 3842.61 |
| 1964 | Saturday, September 12, 1964 | 3844.08 |
| 1975 | Saturday, January 4, 1975 | 3857.14 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Aston Villa's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (3985) vs. Liverpool (4409) Tuesday, December 17, 2019 |
-384.8 | 9.8% | 5-0 | +36.1 |
| Aston Villa (4024) vs. Liverpool (4360) Sunday, October 4, 2020 |
-296.2 | 15.4% | 7-2 | +33.8 |
| Liverpool (4257) vs. Aston Villa (3938) Saturday, September 13, 2014 |
-359.9 | 11.2% | 0-1 | +17.8 |
| Sunderland (4169) vs. Aston Villa (3851) Wednesday, January 1, 1936 |
-450.6 | 7.0% | 1-3 | +27.9 |
| Aston Villa (3962) vs. Chelsea (4272) Saturday, March 15, 2014 |
-269.2 | 17.5% | 1-0 | +16.5 |
| Manchester City (4269) vs. Aston Villa (3959) Tuesday, September 25, 2012 |
-352.7 | 11.6% | 2-4 | +13.3 |
| Aston Villa (4030) vs. Chelsea (4314) Sunday, September 2, 2007 |
-234.9 | 20.6% | 2-0 | +23.8 |
| Aston Villa (3944) vs. Liverpool (4205) Sunday, April 19, 2015 |
-260.9 | 18.2% | 2-1 | +16.4 |
| Aston Villa (3942) vs. Manchester United (4196) Wednesday, April 28, 1965 |
-151.5 | 29.5% | 2-1 | +14.1 |
| Aston Villa (3926) vs. Manchester United (4172) Saturday, August 19, 1995 |
-178.3 | 26.4% | 3-1 | +22.1 |
| Aston Villa (3997) vs. Manchester City (4241) Saturday, September 28, 2013 |
-202.5 | 23.8% | 3-2 | +15.2 |
| Aston Villa (4077) vs. Chelsea (4316) Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
-193.7 | 24.7% | 2-1 | +15.1 |
| Aston Villa (3940) vs. Manchester United (4173) Saturday, February 19, 1949 |
-134.2 | 31.6% | 2-1 | +13.7 |
| Liverpool (4269) vs. Aston Villa (4039) Monday, August 24, 2009 |
-275.5 | 17.0% | 1-3 | +24.9 |
| Aston Villa (3972) vs. Liverpool (4201) Monday, April 16, 1979 |
-124.6 | 32.8% | 3-1 | +20.2 |
| Aston Villa (3891) vs. Preston North End (4119) Saturday, November 22, 1958 |
-122.8 | 33.0% | 2-0 | +20.1 |
| Aston Villa (3751) vs. Southampton (3979) Wednesday, January 29, 1969 |
-122.8 | 33.0% | 2-1 | +13.4 |
| Aston Villa (3987) vs. Manchester United (4213) Sunday, March 27, 1994 |
-226.1 | 21.4% | 3-1 | +23.6 |
| Aston Villa (3990) vs. Manchester United (4214) Wednesday, October 13, 1999 |
-155.7 | 29.0% | 3-0 | +12.4 |
| Aston Villa (3909) vs. Manchester United (4130) Saturday, December 3, 1966 |
-117.7 | 33.7% | 2-1 | +13.3 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Aston Villa's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (4074) vs. Stevenage (3579) Sunday, January 8, 2023 |
+532.7 | 95.5% | 1-2 | -9.6 |
| Bradford City (3523) vs. Aston Villa (3977) Tuesday, January 8, 2013 |
+410.6 | 91.4% | 3-1 | -27.4 |
| Reading (3650) vs. Aston Villa (4053) Wednesday, February 7, 1912 |
+277.8 | 83.2% | 1-0 | -16.6 |
| Aldershot (3529) vs. Aston Villa (3920) Wednesday, January 8, 1964 |
+287.2 | 83.9% | 2-1 | -16.8 |
| Millwall Athletic (3761) vs. Aston Villa (4151) Monday, March 5, 1900 |
+260.0 | 81.7% | 2-1 | -16.3 |
| Aston Villa (4123) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (3772) Thursday, February 25, 1904 |
+486.2 | 94.3% | 0-1 | -18.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers (3920) vs. Aston Villa (4269) Saturday, September 25, 1897 |
+217.5 | 77.8% | 4-3 | -15.6 |
| Aston Villa (3974) vs. Sheffield United (3651) Saturday, January 4, 2014 |
+363.3 | 89.0% | 1-2 | -8.9 |
| Aston Villa (4068) vs. Fulham (3759) Saturday, January 23, 1999 |
+376.4 | 89.7% | 0-2 | -13.5 |
| Aston Villa (4007) vs. Colchester United (3698) Wednesday, September 5, 1979 |
+412.6 | 91.5% | 0-2 | -27.4 |
| Aston Villa (4058) vs. Leicester City (3753) Wednesday, September 26, 2007 |
+354.6 | 88.5% | 0-1 | -8.9 |
| Burnley (3757) vs. Aston Villa (4059) Tuesday, October 26, 2004 |
+241.7 | 80.1% | 3-1 | -12.0 |
| Glossop (3854) vs. Aston Villa (4153) Saturday, December 16, 1899 |
+169.1 | 72.6% | 1-0 | -14.5 |
| Aston Villa (4061) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (3763) Wednesday, November 28, 2001 |
+363.4 | 89.0% | 0-1 | -8.9 |
| Aston Villa (4232) vs. Burnley (3937) Saturday, January 2, 1897 |
+431.4 | 92.3% | 0-3 | -32.3 |
| Torquay United (3545) vs. Aston Villa (3837) Wednesday, April 12, 1972 |
+189.9 | 74.9% | 2-1 | -15.0 |
| Aston Villa (4102) vs. Notts County (3823) Saturday, August 29, 1981 |
+377.4 | 89.8% | 0-1 | -18.0 |
| Notts County (3861) vs. Aston Villa (4137) Saturday, December 16, 1905 |
+147.2 | 70.0% | 2-1 | -14.0 |
| Luton Town (3554) vs. Aston Villa (3828) Wednesday, August 10, 2016 |
+237.9 | 79.7% | 3-1 | -12.0 |
| Doncaster Rovers (3693) vs. Aston Villa (3965) Tuesday, November 29, 2005 |
+215.8 | 77.6% | 3-0 | -13.6 |
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The twenty teams that Aston Villa are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Aston Villa are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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